Everyone’s Talking About Interest Rates- Most Are Getting It Wrong

by Chris Fitzpatrick

 
Everyone’s Talking About Interest Rates...
 
Most Are Getting It Wrong
 
The Fed doesn’t set mortgage rates.
Lower rates won’t fix housing affordability.
And no, a couple 25 bips in cuts won’t save your deal.
 
Here’s what most people miss:
👉 Mortgage rates follow the 10-year Treasury, not the Fed.
👉 Multifamily owners facing debt maturities can’t bank on a bailout, rents have plateaued in many cases and expenses are stifling.
👉 The deals that don’t pencil at 6%+ likely never made sense to begin with.
 
Betting on the Fed is not a strategy.
Operators who focus on fundamentals like cash flow, value-add, and long-term upside are the ones who will win this cycle.
 
Interest rates are just one piece of the puzzle. Stop chasing headlines. Start playing the long game.
 
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